Publications List

JOURNAL ARTICLES
Submitted
  1. Tozer, Carly R., Stellema, Annette, Darbyshire, Rebecca O., Hayman, Peter, Irving, Didier P., Nidumolu, Uday B., Parker, Tess, Ramesh, Nandini, Risbey, James S., and Thomas, Dane S.: From bad to good years: harvesting multiyear dry and wet statistics in large ensembles to inform decision making in agriculture. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology. Submitted May 2026.
  2. Irving, Damien, Stelleman, Annette, Monselesan, Didier P., Parker, Tess, Ramesh, Nandini, Tozer, Carly R., and Risbey, James S.: Quantifying the uncertainty associated with extreme weather likelihood estimates derived from large model ensembles. Environmental Research Letters. Submitted March 2026
  3. Ramesh, Nandini, Freund, Mandy B., Irving, Damien B., Squire, Dougal T., Tozer, Carly R., Monselesan, Didier P., Parker, Tess, Stellema, Annette, and Risbey, James S.: Categorical forecasts of ENSO phase one year in advance. Science Advances. Submitted February 2026​
In review
  1. ​Dikshit, Abhirup, Evans, Jason P., Goswami, Pallavi, Cai, Dejun, McVicar, Tim R., Huete, Alfredo R., Pradhan, Biswajeet, Gallant, Ailie, Nguyen, Hahn, Hoffmann, David,  and Parker, Teresa J.: Australian flash drought research: Recent activities and ways forward. PLOS Water. Submitted December 2025​​
Accepted
  1. ​Bhardwaj, J., Hoffmann, D., and Parker, T.: Future changes to meteorological drought in Australia: insights from the Australian Climate Service's drought and changes in aridity team. Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science. Accepted for publication April 2026​
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Published​
  1. Risbey, J. S., Monselesan, D. P., Chapman, C. C., Chung, C., Hannachi, A., Irving, D., Parker, T., Pook, M. J., Ramesh, N., Stellema, A., and Tozer, C. R., 2025: Extreme monthly rainfall archetypes for Australia. Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science, ​doi:10.1071/ES25016
  2. ​Stellema, A., Irving, D., Risbey, J., Monselesan, D., Parker, T., Ramesh, N., and Tozer, C., 2025: A soft record analysis of extreme heat across Australia. Met. Appl., doi:10.1002/met.70118​
  3. Jin, Chenhui, Gallant, Ailie. J. E., Parker, Tess, and Reeder, Michael J., 2025: Weather systems and their contribution to seasonal rainfall in Australia. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., doi:10.1002/qj.5013.​
  4. Holgate, Chiara M., Parker, Teresa J., et al., 2025: Physical mechanisms of drought development, intensification and termination: an Australian review. Commun. Earth Environ., doi:10.1038/s43247-025-02179-3
  5. ​Reid, Kimberley J., Parker, Tess, et al., 2025: A multiscale evaluation of the wet 2022 in Eastern Australia. J. Clim., doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-24-0224.1
  6. ​Jin, Chenhui, Reeder, Michael J., Gallant, Ailie J. E., Parker, Tess, and Sprenger, Michael, 2024: A synoptic-dynamic view of the Millennium Drought (2001-2009) in southeastern Australia. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., doi:10.1029/2024JD041657 
  7. Henderson, Cameron R., Reeder, Michael J.,  Parker, Teresa J., Quinting, Julian F., and Jakob, Christian, 2024: Summer heatwaves in southeastern Australia. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., doi:10.1002/qj.4816
  8. Devanand, A., Parker, T.​, et al, 2024.: Australia's Tinderbox Drought: an extreme natural event likely worsened by human-caused climate change, Science Advances, doi:10.1126/sciadv.adj3460
  9. Jin, C., Reeder, M. J., Gallant, A., Parker, T.​, and Sprenger, M., 2024: Changes in weather systems during anomalously wet and dry years in southeastern Australia, J. Clim., doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0305.1
  10. Parker, T.​ and Gallant, A., 2022: The role of heavy rainfall in drought in Australia, Weather Climate Extrem., doi:10.1016/j.wace.2022.100528
  11. Ali, S. M., Röthlisberger, M., Parker, T., Kornhuber, K., and Martius, O., 2022: Recurrent Rossby waves during Southeast Australian heatwaves and links to quasi-resonant amplification and atmospheric blocks, Weather Clim. Dynam., doi:10.5194/wcd-2022-1
  12. Parker, T., Gallant, A., Hobbins, M., and Hoffmann, D., 2021: Flash drought in Australia and its relationship to evaporative demand, Environ. Res. Lett., 16, 064033, doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/abfe2c
  13. Parker, T., Woollings, T., Weisheimer, A., O’Reilly, C., Baker, L., and Shaffrey, L., 2019: Seasonal predictability of the winter North Atlantic Oscillation from a jet stream perspective, Geophys. Res. Lett., 46, 10150-10167, doi:10.1029/2019GL084402
  14. Parker, T. J., Quinting, J. F., and Reeder, M. J., 2019: The synoptic-dynamics of summertime heat waves in the Sydney area (Australia), J. Southern Hemis. Earth Sys. Sci., doi:10.1071/ES19004
  15. Quinting, J. F., Parker, T. J., and Reeder, M. J., 2018: Two synoptic routes to subtropical heat waves as illustrated in the Brisbane region of Australia, Geophys. Res. Lett., 45, 10700-10708, doi:10.1029/2018GL07926
  16. Parker, T., Woollings, T., and Weisheimer, A., 2018: Ensemble sensitivity analysis of Greenland blocking in medium-range forecasts, Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 144, 2358- 2379, doi:10.1002/qj.3391
  17. Woollings, T., Barnes, E., Hoskins, B., Kwon, Y.-O., Lee, R., Li, C., Madonna, E., McGraw, M., Parker, T., Rodrigues, R., Spensberger, C., and Williams, K., 2017: Daily to decadal modulation of jet variability, J. Clim., 31, 1297-1314, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0286.1
  18. Kennedy, D., Parker, T., Woollings, T., Harvey, B., and Shaffrey, L., 2016: The response of high-impact blocking weather systems to climate change, Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 7250- 7258, doi:10.1002/2016GL069725
  19. Parker, T. J., Berry, G. J., Reeder, M. J., and Nicholls, N., 2014: Modes of variability and heat waves in Victoria, Southeastern Australia, Geophys. Res. Lett., 41, 6926-6934, doi:10.1002/2014GL061736
  20. Parker, T. J., Berry, G. J., and Reeder, M. J., 2014: The structure and evolution of heat waves in Southeastern Australia, J. Clim., 27, 5768-5785, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00740.1
  21. Parker, T. J., Berry, G. J., and Reeder, M. J., 2013: The influence of tropical cyclones on heat waves in Southeastern Australia, Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 6264-6270, doi:10.1002/2013GL058257
  22. ​Parker, T. J., and Lane, T. P., 2013: Trapped mountain waves during a light aircraft accident, Aust. Meteor. Ocean. J., 63, 377-389 [PDF]
BOOK CHAPTERS
Published
  1. Risbey, James S., Barnes, Michael A., Monselesan, Didier P., Osman, Mariel,  Parker, Teresa J., Pook, Michael J., and Tozer, Carly R., 2025: Meteorology of the Southern Hemisphere Extratropics. In monograph "Meteorology and Climatology of the Southern Hemisphere", Eds. Taschetto, A. S., Ndarana, T., and Ambrizzi, T., Cambridge University Press, doi:10.1017/9781009352680 
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https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4201-3929
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